The Middle East struggles can destabilize African countries

European analysts worry that conflict in the Middle East may be an unstable factor in already unstable regions of the African continent.“If the conflict between Israel and Iran goes ahead, the German Frederick Ebert Foundation (FES) Handric Maihac said, there is a risk that various interacted wars around the Red Sea can also expand,” the German Frederick Ebert Foundation (FES) Handric Maihac told the DW.He says that the biggest threat will be for the horn of Africa, a region “currently in its deepest crisis in about 30 years.”“Iran collaborates with Hurti rebels in Yemen, who in turn collaborates with Al-Shabab Milsia in Somalia,” Miahka says, the reason for adding such interconnected alliances to Germany and Europe should look beyond wars in the Middle East and Ukraine. In Africa, with conflicts “growing compared to decreasing,” can result in Europe.“Where the attention of foreign policy and resources for human and development cooperation decreases, many African countries are afraid of falling out of the headlines of Western support,” Miahk says.Guido Lanfancy of the Clingendel Institute for International Relations in the Netherlands told DW that cooperation between the military Houthi group supported by Iran, and the al-Shabab terrorist militia in Somalia has intensified.Struggle analyst says, “Maintaining these connections seems to appear in the interest of both groups,”Horn of Africa has strategic significance for Israel and IranHorn in Africa and Red Sea regions, including Egypt, Sudan, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Israel, Djibouti, Ethiopia and Somalia, are geopolitically important for both Iran and Israel, say Lanfancy, Lanfancy, recently supplying weapons to Sudni armed forces (SAF) with Iran.“Israel has a close relationship with Ethiopia, and alone in the last few months, there have been several meetings between the two sides,” says Lanfranchi.While Israel’s role in Sudan is not completely clear, Lanfranchi says that Israel had a relationship with both SAF and RSF (Rapid Support Force) before Sudan’s civil war in April 2023.But according to London-based Think Tank Chautham House, according to Romain Ddberg, Iran and Israel’s limited economic and diplomatic overall footprint so far means that the decline from the Iran-Israeli conflict is currently “mainly indirect geopolitical influence”.“Both countries have invested very little in Africa and in fact the field does not have Africa’s strategy like the same players,” he told DW.These effects include potential disruption in trade, increase in market volatility, rising oil prices and increased economic pressure. Nevertheless, Energy prices can still touch the sky, and now focus on the continent with international political and military attention, “safety intervals” can emerge on the continent. Qatar’s mediation role in Congo weakenedOther Middle East players, however, have contained interest in some African countries.“Qatar has played a very active role in mediation in various African countries in recent years and recently played a leading role in regional arbitration efforts between Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo,” Ddberg told DW.But after an Iranian attack on a United States airbase in Qatar, Qatar can be followed more danger: “So if they are directly attacked, it can reduce their role. He provided this calm diplomacy and support in the background, while all other diplomatic channels failed. ,Qatar succeeded in bringing Rwanda President Paul Kagame and Felix Tskedi, DRC President, to bring to the conversation table in early 2025, when the two leaders avoided each other for months amidst the increase in violence on the East DRC border.Iran retrieving in west AfricaIn West Africa, Iran has invested in Sahel countries, saying ulf Lessing of the Conrad Adenora Foundation (KAS) in Mali. Iran has tried to provide an option for European partners like France.“For example, an agreement was signed with Niger, which is officially about energy cooperation,” Lessing told DW.Despite the alleged military deals in exchange for resources, Lessing says the Israeli-Iran struggle has reduced Iran’s ability to be a player in West Africa. Therefore military ruled Sahel countries may get less support, such as for purchase of drones, from the expectation of earlier.