Pune: IMD indicated a possible revival of the south -west monsoon between 12 and 18 June after a stall from 29 May on Thursday. An IMD official said that a system could be formed in the Bay of Bengal on 12–13 June, although the conflicting model output leads to uncertainty. “Some models suggest a system formation, others do not. We are not yet sufficiently convinced to include it in our forecast, “the official said.Extended-ranges forecast, however, indicates a monsoon revival during the specified period, whether a system is formed or not. After revival, IMD estimates strong rainfall in Central India, Maharashtra and parts of South Peninsular India (where the monsoon has already been advanced).Distribution will be important for monsoon progress: IMD The forecast brings hope for areas battling with dried mantras as the monsoon progress has become dull compared to the previous week. The IMD official said: “After the advance-transit of the monsoon in other areas, the monsoon will rest on the distribution of rain and the installation of winds.”An extended range forecast by IMD indicated that the South West monsoon was likely to move forward from 12 to 18 June to some other parts of the middle and east during June 18. For the same week, it said that there is a possibility of quite widespread rainfall for widespread rainfall with a heavy fall, which is due to the strengthening of winding winds from the west side.The total rainfall activity on South Peninsular India was likely to be normal; In many parts of Central India, Northwests above normal and Northwest from June 12-18, below normal in East and North Eastern India, have been said in the IMD extended range forecast.However, private forecaster Skymet Weather Services expressed more confidence in the formation of a monsoon system in the Bay of Bengal. Skymet president GP Sharma said, “By June 10, a pioneer is expected to develop cyclonic circulation in the west-central Gulf of Bengal. It will take another 48 hours for restructuring and consolidation.” According to Sharma, the system is likely to trigger weather activity along the beach from June 11. “The weather system can track slightly south of its normal path, which runs in Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Karnataka and Maharashtra.“Skymet predicted the monsoon revival window from 12 to 17 June, covered by most South Peninsular India.
